Friday, June 29, 2012

Is Materialism Dying?


No, probably not.  But here are two perspectives (neither of which is particularly new) as to why a purely physical cosmology is worth questioning deeply.

Ethical Motivation: where does our sense of right and wrong come from?  How does a purely materialist view of human origins account for self-transcendence?  Why, for instance, do we tear-up at stories of a young Marine jumping on a grenade to save the lives of his buddies at the cost of his own?  Why is greed bad but charity laudable?  Why do we value courage over cowardice, particularly in circumstances when retreat offers a much surer path to survival and therefore, the ability to pass on our DNA?

Here’s a short video of Leah Lobresco—a 2011 Yale grad and erstwhile atheist blogger—describing how she came to faith through an awareness of her innate ethical yearnings.  For those of you who were “razed” Catholic, this might just rekindle some hope.

Quantum Mechanics:  I read The Hidden Face of God by Gerald Schroeder last winter.  It’s mind blowing stuff, really—made me wish I’d never given up on science in school.  Schroder puts the sub-atomic world in a helpful scale to begin mulling the question of matter: if we were able to expand the nucleus of an atom to a sphere 4 inches in diameter, the electrons would be orbiting (at ~ ¼ the speed of light) about 4 miles out.  That means that something like 99.999% of the physical universe isn’t actually matter, but the space between matter (or energy).  You can’t jam your finger through a bunch of iron atoms in their solid state, but it’s not because there's this dense material preventing you from doing so.  It’s because of that odd little, but really strong force "tethering" the nucleus to the electrons.  

Moreover, what can we say about the strong and weak nuclear forces,electro-magnetic force, and the force of gravity; these 4 rules, these inviolable principles of nature, which never stop working?  At a minimum, I think we can say they, not the apparent material around us, form the basis of physical reality.

Keith Ward, whom I had the pleasure of hearing speak at General Theological Seminary during the spring of ’94, takes this sub-atomic discussion further.  You can view it here.  It’s pretty long, but well worth it.  

Here are the haunting questions from Ward’s lecture: what if all that sub-atomic junk (e.g., protons, neutrons, electrons) wasn’t actually matter itself?  What if the whole of our experience is the perception of inviolable rules—of wisdom, as Schroeder puts it—in action?  What does that mean for consciousness?

Neither of these are proofs for God’s existence, mind you—I gave up on that quest years ago.  They do suggest that what we commonly perceive to be the bedrock of reality may not actually be that.  

I’d also love to see somebody tackle the link between the fundamental laws of physics and consciousness / innate, selfless ethical yearnings, if that’s possible.

In the end, I suppose what I feel most from these two trains of thought is a new appreciation for God’s immanence. And that’s pretty cool, in a contemplative sort of way.      

Monday, June 11, 2012

What if Wisconsin Wasn’t About the Money?


Citizens United is to lefty political types what my son is to his three sisters: the ultimate target for blame-shifting.

Michael McConnell offers another explanation, which you can read here.

Now, I’m not saying that money doesn’t affect political races.  After all, why else would rational politicos spend so much on smear ads?  But, if you believe the CNN exit poll which showed that 86% of Wisconsin re-call voters had made up their minds before May 1 (i.e., before the major ad spending ramped up), it’s probably fairly safe to say that there is at least a point of diminishing marginal returns to money’s influence.

Maybe Wisconsinites deserve more credit than the left or right is giving them.

Maybe the high ROI from political ads just wasn’t there.

Maybe the recall was just a dumb idea, based on hyper-inflated fears and widely promulgated but utterly ridiculous notions of justice.

Maybe getting a 100% match on your pension contribution and paying 1/8 of your health insurance premium cost aren't such bad deals after all (maybe it was really a matter of "Who Moved my Cheese?").

Maybe curtailing the ability of government to secure its existence and perpetuate its growth through self-funding mechanisms is in the best interest of Wisconsin’s residents.

Maybe, just maybe, democracy was working in the land of cheddar: not because it's an inherent good, but as a reasonably fair and thoroughly practical solution to bad governance.  

Or maybe it’ll always be my son’s fault, despite any evidence to the contrary.

Friday, June 1, 2012

Denial: a River Running through the White House


The May jobs report released this morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics wasn’t as strong as any of us had hoped it would be.
 

Well, actually, it was awful. 

The expectation was for approximately +155,000 new jobs.  The actual number was +66k.  The unemployment rate reversed its trend and ticked up to 8.2% in May from 8.1% in April.  With favorable labor market conditions (more in a moment), we should have been adding 300-400k per month in this recovery.    

Labor Secretary Hilda Solis could only blame congress for not doing more during her interview on CNBC.  She also repeatedly pointed out that the economy had created millions of jobs since the president took office, attempting to put 2012’s dramatic slowdown into a type of perspective.  Even Alan Krueger, Chairman of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisors can’t resist the urge (pressure?) to blame prior conditions, and keep blindly following the president’s prescription for growth. 

In other words, the pain isn’t our fault, but to the extent that anyone has benefited from job growth, the Obama administration deserves credit, oh and you really need to let us keep keep pulling more of the same kinds of levers we've been trying.

Please.

Let’s get some things straight:

1.      The government does not create private sector jobs.  Period.  The government can borrow money and spend that money on projects (so called “investments”), which may, or may not, have a positive impact on the decisions of private sector employers to hire workers.
2.      To the extent that we’ve had positive economic growth and a better hiring environment, it is because those private sector job creators were incentivized to hire people by the prospect for increased profits.
3.      Government intervention in the economy can only create incentives or disincentives for private sector employers.  Government operates at the margin, but it is never the primary reason for growth or contraction, for increasing or decreasing unemployment rates.
4.      You’ll hear more about QE3 now, but the Fed’s hands are tied.  The Fed creates more dollars (POOF!), then buys more bonds from banks, giving the banks cash to lend; the banks look for credit-worthy corporations and consumers who want loans; banks can’t find nearly as many credit-worthy borrowers many as previously and when they do, those corporations don’t want to borrow because they have no idea what the rules of the game are, and they’re not going to spend money on expanding (i.e., building stuff and hiring people) until they can confidently work a 5 year strategic plan; the banks have do something with their cash, so they park it at the Fed, which earns them 25 bps.  Right back where we started: bupkis.    
5.      Congress could spend even more money (which it doesn’t have) in the hope that it will incentivize private sector employers to hire people, but there is still no guarantee that any businesses will actually want to hire anybody.  Nor do we have any indication that the federal government knows where to spend the money once it borrows it.  One of the main lessons from Solyndra was that the smartest private equity guys are just not employed by the federal government.   

Let’s imagine we’re playing Monopoly and you land on Boardwalk.  You pull out your $400 and tell me you’d like to buy it.  I say “Sure! But, I need to tell you that some of the rules have changed.  First of all, the price may say $400 on the card, but it’s actually $500.  Also, if you want to put up any houses or hotels on it, you need to know that it’s going to cost you something more, but I’m not yet sure what either the additional cost per house or limitations on the number of houses will be.  Did I mention that I've printed up some more Monopoly money for my use?  Also, your Chance cards may not be valid...I'll get back to you.”

Would you keep playing Monopoly with me if I pulled that kind of stunt?  Of course not.  

Yet that’s the presumption of all of this nonsense from Washington: we can change rules, raise costs, point fingers, borrow beyond sanity, generate trillions of new dollars from thin air, invest in private enterprise despite an utter lack of expertise, and all of this is going to incentivize rational entrepreneurs to hire people.

Please.

Sir Winston Churchill famously said: “The Americans will always do the right thing…after they’ve exhausted all the alternatives.”  For the sake of the unemployed folks out there, let’s hope we’re getting close to doing the right thing.